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Brownlow Breakdown - Judd to runaway with a third?
8th September 2011 Category: Analysis
Image: Slattery Media Group
According to the ratings of Player Rater users, Chris Judd is set to be the runaway 2011 Brownlow Medal winner.
Player Rater's Brownlow forecast has Judd winning easily, ahead of Marc Murphy, Matthew Boyd and Dane Swan.
Centrebet currently have Judd listed as a $1.63 chance to win his third medal, ahead of Scott Pendlebury ($7) and Adam Goodes ($8).
The leaderboard and game by game breakdown below have been compiled by converting the ratings of Player Rater users into Brownlow style 3,2,1 votes.
|
Votes
|
Games
Polled
|
Votes PGP
|
Odds (Win)
|
Odds (Place)
|
|
|
Judd, C
|
31
|
12
|
2.58
|
$1.63
|
$1.13
|
|
Murphy, M
|
23
|
12
|
1.92
|
$10
|
$2.80
|
|
Boyd, M
|
23
|
9
|
2.56
|
$11
|
$3
|
|
Swan, D
|
23
|
9
|
2.56
|
$12
|
$3.20
|
|
Ablett, G
|
21
|
11
|
1.91
|
$14
|
$3.60
|
|
Franklin, L*
|
21
|
9
|
2.33
|
---
|
---
|
|
Goodes, A
|
21
|
8
|
2.63
|
$8
|
$2.40
|
|
Pendlebury, S
|
20
|
10
|
2.00
|
$7
|
$2.20
|
|
Mitchell, S*
|
19
|
11
|
1.73
|
---
|
---
|
Odds from Centrebet
Round by round votes:
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | T | |
| Judd, C | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 31 | ||||||||||||
| Murphy, M | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | ||||||||||||
| Boyd, M | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 | |||||||||||||||
| Swan, D | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 | |||||||||||||||
| Ablett, G | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 21 | |||||||||||||
| Franklin, L* | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | |||||||||||||||
| Goodes, A | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 | ||||||||||||||||
| Pendlebury, S | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | ||||||||||||||
| Mitchell, S* | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
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